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The Art and Science of Prediction

Updated: Jul 10, 2021

There is no doubt that uncertainty can cause stress by way of lost hope. It is human nature to keep on hoping against all odds, so when we lose hope, many will turn to anything they believe might recover it.

Some will use meditation or hypnosis to go within to find the answers, while others will search externally, seeking assistance from friends, family, psychologists, counsellors, spiritual leaders, religious teachers and mystics; each with their own special tools of the trade.

A psychologist may use mindfulness, while a mystic's crystal ball may provide the symbolic visions to locate our missing hope. No single process is 100% accurate for all people, all the time, but our emotional state may well determine what we choose to believe to be true.

On the topic of tools of the trade, this pandemic is being measured by a laboratory technique called reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR ). Because no test is 100% accurate, a margin for error must be incorporated into the results and to this end, positive predictive value (PPV) analysis can be used to assess how many false positives there will be across a tested population. For example, if a test is 99% accurate, there will be 1 person in every 100 who falsely tests positive, and 10 in every 1,000, 100 in every 10,000 and so on.

As at 1 July 2021 in Australia, there have been around 31,000 positive COVID-19 cases out of a total 21 million tests performed. At such a low incidence of disease, this suggests the test must be close to, or even 100% accurate. Any slight inaccuracy would render many of those cases false positives. If the test accuracy is below 99.85%, ALL of those 31,000 cases will be false positives, merely as a function of the tiny 0.15% inaccuracy of the test!

People for Safe Vaccines Ltd recently commissioned an expert report into PPV, which applies PPV to case numbers and tests for Australia, Victoria, New South Wales, Western Australia and the Pfizer and AstraZeneca mRNA vaccine trials.

PPV Report June 2021
Download PDF • 192KB

The report concludes that the data must be unreliable, considering the range of accuracy cited for the RT-PCR test, the anomalous results and the impracticality of achieving those very high specificities in practice.

The inventor of the PCR test, Kary Mullis, is on record stating that the PCR test should not be used to diagnose infectious disease, yet here we are 18 months after the pandemic was announced, still under the belief that this tool is the gold-standard for diagnosing COVID-19 – and still without any official recognition of the impact of PPV on case numbers!

Clearly the only thing that is 100% predictable is the governments’ ignorance of these vital facts.

Perhaps the real issue here is the government's hope to hold on to their plan at all costs, regardless of evidence to the contrary. This state-of-mind is like a form of hypnosis. But if hope springs eternal, our continued efforts might just wake them from their trance-like state and bring this country back to reality. Perhaps it's time to consult the crystal ball.

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Can we request, and if so by what means, the Ct of any PCR test we might be forced to take? Can we request the Ct during a particular lockdown? I've often wondered if the rate is lower in Perth as, despite the huge number of contacts, covid never seems to take off here (yet). We just keep locking down over one case...


If you have not listened to this video, then I urge you to do so. Please listen to these real BOMBSHELLS from Dr David Martin.

It is a MUST.

The whole Sars CON is evidenced in the patents, such as a A TREATMENT

before the problem, occurred!


Replying to

This is my homework tonight, thanks Penny, Garry also recommended it.


The PPV Report does not download. Can you please supply a new link?

Replying to

Hi Josh, thanks for letting us know, we are attending to this now.


What about those in the Aged Care Industry who are being forced by law into having the vaccine by Sep 2021?? It needs urgent attention to be Stopped.

Replying to

Yes it is sadly the beginning of mandates across the board. For various reasons the aged care workers have been targeted and so ready or not it is time for them to be fearless and stand up to this. We do not need to wait on the courts or the corrupt system to give us permission. We just need to say no and stand by that come hell or high water. I think even we would be surprised by how many dissenters there are who just need to know they have support. The first step is always the hardest but lets be realistic, imagine if just 20% said no! The industry would be in shambles in a hot minute. Imagine…


The Australian Heath department MUST BE COMPELLED to provide the CT -Cycle Threshold (the actual number of Cycles the PCR tests were run at,) at EVERY LAB in AUSTRALIA. (anything over a CT of 35 throws an 85% False Positive!!) The CDC RECOMMENDED a CT rate of 40-45 …….ENSURING THE PLANDEMIC WAS SET IN MOTION.

NOW, since the roll out of the Satanic-Death-Pox-Shot …….they have dramatically reduced the CT that they run the PCR test at ……..REDUCING THE BOGUS COVID NUMBERS…….IMPLYING THEIR DEATH SHOT IS WORKING!!!!


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